Dr.Suzana Camargo- April 22nd

The social and economic impacts of hurricanes in the U.S. in the last few years stressed the necessity to better understand the variability, predictability and risk of tropical cyclones. In this talk, I will discuss the current understanding of various aspects of tropical cyclones, from the ability of the current generation of models to make forecasts on sub-seasonal time-scales, to the estimates of hurricane risk in locations with very few occurrences in the historical record.

Start

April 22, 2019 - 4:00 pm

End

April 22, 2019 - 5:00 pm

Address

120 David L Boren Blvd, Norman, OK 73072   View map
Name:     Suzana Camargo
Title:    Tropical Cyclones: variability, risk and future challenges
Location: NWC1313
Date:     2019/04/22
Time:     04:00 PM
Abstract: Tropical Cyclones: variability, risk and future challenges
The social and economic impacts of hurricanes in the U.S. in the last few years stressed the necessity to better understand the variability, predictability and risk of tropical cyclones. In this talk, I will discuss the current understanding of various aspects of tropical cyclones, from the ability of the current generation of models to make forecasts on sub-seasonal time-scales, to the estimates of hurricane risk in locations with very few occurrences in the historical record. While there has been significant progress in the last decades, many challenges remain. For instance, sub-seasonal hurricane forecasts are still on their infancy, and the predictability limits at these time-scales are still not well known. For hurricane risk assessments, besides the winds at landfall better estimates are needed, taking into account flooding due to storm surge and extreme precipitation. I will conclude with a discussion on the challenges and ideas for future research on extremes events with emphasis on hurricanes.

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