Validation of the FV3GFS and Future Plans for the NCEP Production Suite with Geoff Manikin- October 16th

ABSTRACT: In 2016, NCEP selected the Finite Volume 3 (FV3) dynamical core to be the cornerstone of its NWP efforts in the years ahead. The first step towards a Unified Forecast System (UFS) is the implementation of the FV3GFS which will become the operational global model in early 2019. This presentation explains the need for the UFS, examines objective and subjective results from real-time and retrospective testing of the FV3GFS, and discusses modeling plans going forward.

BIOGRAPHY: Mr. Manikin received his Bachelor of Arts in economics from Cornell University (1992) and his Master of Science in atmospheric sciences from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1995). He has worked for over 20 years at NCEP’s Environmental Modeling Center, first in the Mesoscale Modeling Branch and now in the new Verification, Post Processing, and Product Generation Branch. He currently serves as the project lead for the operational RAP and HRRR models and leads EMC’s Model Evaluation Group, which is responsible for assessing performance of operational and parallel prediction systems and provides outreach to the field.