National Weather Center Colloquium

The first decade of predicting Arctic sea ice

Dr. Cecilia Bitz

Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington

29 March 2016, 4:00 PM

National Weather Center, Room 1313
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
University of Oklahoma
Norman, OK

Within the last decade, extremely low Arctic summer sea ice cover in some years has prompted new research on predicting sea ice conditions a season or more in advance. There are several promising sources of predictability associated with aspects of the sea ice that vary relatively slowly and integrate atmospheric and ocean ice influences over many months. The sea ice circulates in large-scale gyres, which transports anomalies with some regularity. However, like most short-term prediction problem, good initialization and post processing are essential, yet remain challenging. I will review the rapid advances on this important topic that have evolved since The Sea Ice Outlook began collecting and reporting predictions in 2008.

Speaker bio

National Weather Center Colloquium Seminar Series website