National Weather Center Colloquium

Can the U.S. Become the World Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction?

Dr. Fred Carr

School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

18 October 2016, 4:00 PM

National Weather Center, Room 1313
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
University of Oklahoma
Norman, OK

It is well-known that the U.S. skill in numerical weather prediction (NWP), as measured by NCEP’s Global Forecast System (GFS), lags behind other centers, most notably the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). In this talk, we will discuss some of the reasons for this discrepancy and provide a potential path forward for the U.S. to match or surpass ECMWF accuracy. In doing so, we will examine the strategic plans of various centers for improving NWP, the recent selection process for the new dynamic core for NCEP’s global model, the importance of ensemble design for convection-allowing models, and the opportunity NCEP has to make rapid progress.

Speaker bio

National Weather Center Colloquium Seminar Series website