National Weather Center Colloquium

Climate predictions and projections in the coming decades: uncertainty due to natural variability

Dr. James Hurrell
Director, NCAR

01 April 2014, 4:00 PM

National Weather Center, Room 1313
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
University of Oklahoma
Norman, OK

Future climate change at local and regional scales will result from a combination of human and natural factors. It will be shown that unpredictable, internally generated climate fluctuations make a substantial contribution to climate trends projected for the next 50 years over North America and Europe. Results are based on large ensembles of climate change integrations with the Community Earth System Model (CESM). It will also be demonstrated that the large-scale atmospheric circulation is responsible for much of the diversity in climate change projections across the individual ensemble members. Implications of the results for model validation, inter-model comparisons, and interpretation of observed climate trends will be discussed.

Speaker bio

For accommodations based on disability, or more details, please call 325-6561. All visitors without NOAA or University of Oklahoma identification must register at the registration desk on arrival. Visitor parking is available for all University visitors. However, faculty/staff/students must have a current multi-purpose parking permit. Additional parking is available at the Lloyd Noble Center (LNC) for those individuals who do not have a parking permit. You do not need a permit to park in one of 1,200 spaces reserved for CART bus riders, although you must ride the CART shuttle to park in the reserved area. This area is on the north central side of the Lloyd Noble Center. Elsewhere at the LNC, permits are required.

The University of Oklahoma is a smoke-free / tobacco-free campus.

National Weather Center Colloquium Seminar Series website